Health Expert Predicts Government Tardiness Could Lead to 40,000 Deaths from Virus

Zelo Street has already covered this story, but it was also reported in yesterday’s I for Saturday, 18th April 2020. The global health expert, Anthony Costello has told a group of MPs that Johnson’s failure to tackle the virus quickly could lead to as many as 40,000 people dying from it. The article by Jane Clinton, ‘UK ‘too slow’ to react to virus and set for second wave, expert warns’, runs

A leading global health expert has accused the Government of being too slow to acton the outbreak and warned that the death toll in the UK could reach 40,000.

Professor Anthony Costello, of University College London’s Institute for Global Health, told a committee of MPs that the “harsh reality” is that “we were too slow with a number of things” and that “further waves” of the disease could mean Britain suffers the highest death toll in Europe.

He said: “This wave could see 40,000 deaths by the time it’s over. If we’re going to suppress the chain of transmission of this virus in the next stage we all hope that the national lockdown and social distancing will bring about a large suppression of the epidemic so far – but we’re going to face further waves. 

“And so we need to make sure that we have a system in place that cannot just do a certain number of tests in the laboratory, but has a system at district and community level.”

Professor Costello, a former official with the World Health Organisation, has previously said that the could be as many as 10 waves of the virus.

Giving evidence to the Commons Health and Social Care Committee, he cautioned that there should not be “any blame at this stage” but that “we can make sure in the second wave we’re not too slow.”

The criticism came as Austria’s Health Minister, Rudolf Anschober, said that the number of new cases of Covid-19 in the UK was “frightening” other EU states.

Zelo Street’s article comments on a piece in the Torygraph, which states that new research has dealt a severe blow to hopes of herd immunity. The Torygraph article also reported Costello’s suggestion that there could be eight or ten waves of the virus, killing as many as 40,000 people. But Zelo Street adds the further comments Prof Costello made on Twitter. Costello attack Matt Hancock’s refusal to let the British people know the process for lifting the lockdown, when the South Korean government had a website that contains all the details on the virus in their country. He called for the government to discuss plans for a restoration of community testing and contact tracing, digital apps to aid monitoring and quarantine, the policy of ‘flattening the curve’ should be abandoned, as this implied a commitment to further herd immunity and thus more deaths. He also wanted more volunteers to come forward as a ‘community protective shield’.

Prof Costello also condemned the Government’s policy that could lead to 40,000 deaths. There was no modelling of early testing, a suspension of community tests and contact tracing on March 12, and a two-weeks delay in the implementation of social distancing and lockdown. And he told Observer journo Carole Cadwalladr

So we are heading up towards over forty thousand deaths. That will make us two hundred times higher than [South] Korea. It could easily put us in first place for the world, although I think the US may rival us for that rate. So this is the worst public health catastrophe of the last century. We have to ask questions about why it’s happened.” Matt Hancock’s job just became a little more challenging.

Zelo Street commented that he was just the latest expert to contradict the opinions of the right-wing, free market supporting media class, and wondered how long it would be before they realised that their tactics of misinformation and lies wouldn’t work on an enemy that couldn’t be demonised into silence. He concluded

‘Prof Costello is another to have done us – and the Government – a great service. Maybe we should start listening to experts – and put the boo-boys in the bin where they belong.’

https://zelo-street.blogspot.com/2020/04/another-expert-pans-government.html

A possible death toll of 40,000 people, 200 times that of South Korea. And all because Boris and the Tories were determined to run down the NHS in order to create an absolute free market economy.

Whatever Professor Costello says about not blaming anyone, that’s an indictment. Even if, as we all hope, this disease doesn’t carry off that many.

 

 

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11 Responses to “Health Expert Predicts Government Tardiness Could Lead to 40,000 Deaths from Virus”

  1. trev Says:

    From what I heard this morning the Government seem to be pinning their hopes on some sort of phone app that is supposed to identify when you’re close to someone who’s infected. I can see that being fraught with problems, gliches, lack of signal, false alarms, not to mention that not everyone has a smartphone. I doubt the app will work on my phone as it’s fast becoming obsolete and Microsoft have ended support for Windows 8.1 , even Whatsapp stopped working, and there’s no way I can afford to upgrade to a newer phone. To put it into perspective, I’ve got about 12 quid to live on for the coming fortnight due to vet bills taking all my JSA and I won’t even be able to pay my Water installment this week or for my electricity. Phones are a luxury for many of us.

    • beastrabban Says:

      Really sorry to hear about that, Trev. But vet’s bills are expensive, and the government does assume too much when it believes everyone will be able to take up such an app.

      • trev Says:

        Yes vet bills are astronomical. Normally I use the PDSA but my local branch is completely closed due to the virus. I found a not-for-profit animal clinic 10 miles away that provides free consultations but they still charge for any required treatment, so basically the cat was on her last legs and beyond saving so it’s cost me £48 for a blood test to know what the problem was and another £88 for euthanasia, leaving me with 12 quid. I’m just waiting for a DWP Budgeting loan to come through but don’t know if it’ll be paid this week or next. It’s been a bit of a nightmare all in all. Heartbreaking to lose the cat (she was 15) but relieved that she’s no longer suffering and the stressful situation has been resolved. All things considered this is turning out to be a bad year, and of course many people have lost their loved ones.

      • Florence Says:

        So sorry to hear of your loss. It’s hard to lose a companion animal at a time like this. Please contact your local Covid19-UK group and / or your local food bank, community fridge or food pod, or even Sikh temple (who often provide cooked meals but are also involved in many other community projects). On FB too there are food pods through the “fighting universal credit atrocities (FUCA) network. You are not alone – there are now many who are finally waking up to what the disabled and benefits communities have known for years – there is mass hunger out there. But please, get some support. I know that many projects dont ask humiliating questions to prove you’re destitute. Just seek xx

      • trev Says:

        Cheers Florence, it has been a difficult time and I’m so sad to have lost the moggy. I do actually volunteer at a foodbank so I know the score, and no doubt they would help me out if I asked, but I think I can just about manage as I still had some food in from what I’ve bought over the last few weeks, tins of soup, some cereals etc. plus a few tins of slightly out-of-date stuff that I had already had given from the foodbank as they’re not allowed to give it out – some tinned spaghetti and tinned peaches, plus some large bags of pistachios that were past their sell-by date. Another project used to collect all the out-of-date stuff from us and distribute it to poor people on a ‘take it at your own risk’ basis, but they’ve had to stop coming for the time being due to the virus scare so if any of us volunteers don’t want it then it will only get binned. And I’m expecting to get the DWP Budgeting loan through some time soon, just don’t know exactly when. Life is hard for many at the moment, but I’ll survive.

      • beastrabban Says:

        Really glad you’re coping, Trev. And Florence is right about losing a companion animal. We had to have our dog put down about six years ago, because of old age. But we still miss her.

      • Florence Says:

        Take care. And when the time is right try adopting another cat, or even foster one which needs one to one support where they pay all vets bills. But mostly take the good on offer and build yourself up a bit. Nutrition is very important for maintaining your immune system especially if you are working in a food bank. Put yourself first now, for a while.

      • trev Says:

        Thanks, funny you should say that, I bought myself some vitamins today. And, actually I already do have two other cats, both strays that I rescued, one about 6 yrs old the other about 4, but they all have their own unique personality and the one I’ve just lost was 15 and I had her from being a tiny kitten so you do build up quite a bond with a pet over that length of time. I was working at the foodbank today and yesterday, been pretty busy, we have provided over 2000 food parcels in one month, a huge increase on last year. It’s going nuts. The Council have had to step in and help us through this emergency period with providing extra staff and transport. We are delivering the food direct to peoples’ doorsteps now to minimize contact and keep people away from the centre. Plenty of supermarkets are making big donations. I’ve never seen anything like it.

      • trev Says:

        P.S.
        I got the DWP loan, it came through on Wednesday this week…phew!

      • beastrabban Says:

        That’s great, Trev!

  2. Jeffrey Davies Says:

    People are now awaking to this government how it handles things or not yet they had aktion T4 which has taken far far to many and now this virus it’s been a while for the peasants to wake to the fact these greedie ones in power will harvest some more of us so ask them but don’t hold your breath has with those deaths under ESA pip DLA they will not tell

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